INCA DIGITAL
35.6892° N · 51.3890° E
FULL FORCE CRYPTOINTELLIGENCE
ON <> OFF CHAIN
NOTHING ESCAPES INCA
JULY 2026 … • … ISSUE 02 … • … POLYMARKET MOLE HUNT
◉ BRIEFING
5 SEC
On Polymarket, five insiders placed big bets on Israeli strikes hours before they struck.
They enter early, lose near never, then go dark. They can't hide (but they can try).
Good morning,
Prediction markets turn secrets into positions which turn into profit in the darkest corners.
Positions are staked on the acts of war, and not by gamblers but by insiders: In the circles or in the room where it happened.
In this issue, we shine a light on shady insiders; and the insider targeting work that surfaces their bets from the shadows.
No Mercy,
Adam Zarazinski
CEO, Inca Digital
BACKSTORY
INSIDE THE TERRITORY
01 / 04
Prediction markets price real-world questions. A strike, an election, a hire, a yes or no anyone can buy.
Predictions insiders: Pre-meditated participants. Funded ahead, live for months, fluent in the venue; staking position before the public had any indications.
Positions of insiders : Early entry. Scarcely placed. High value. Probability of losses? Next to none. Then, for a long time, they go quiet.
BREAKDOWN
INSIDE THE INSIDERS
02 / 04
INSIDER SWARM
In one sweep for insider trading, Inca flagged thirty-nine insider wallets..
Five fresh wallets sat on the same trade:
June 11 to 13 : Israel military action against Iran by Friday
SUSPECTS ISRAELI STRIKE
Bought Yes for 13¢ to 22¢ (13, 15, 16, 21, 22).
Bought hours to two days before the strike & picked up in the final hours.
None lost, and the win paid 340 to 581 percent.
One prediction paid the insiders: $338,000.
Based on the above, it points to an insider on the planning side of the strikes.
BACKHANDED
INSIDE THE MOLE HUNT
03 / 04
◦ THE TRAIL
Insiders send us 3 signals :
Surface way before the public knows.
Win (big) when the event resolves.
Slip back underground.
◦ THE DIG
Incas can read resolved markets backward.
Score each entry against the moment the public first had a reason.
(The wallets that beat that clock burrow together, market after market)
Catching insiders?
It’s our full time job.
INCA IRL
INSIDE INCA DIGITAL
04 / 04
STORIES
PR Newswire: Fortune launches its inaugural Crypto 100 with Inca Digital delivering the financial and technical read.
SEE US
Blockchain Futurist Conference. July 21. Toronto.
Compliance and Policy Breakfast at Futurist. July 22. Toronto.
STAFF
Brad Kay, Director of Blockchain Intelligence. Back on the bench.
Jason Trager, Head of Lawfare. AACE.
Marian Müller, Director of Communications.
Anna Eremina, R&D Project Manager.
Tyler Lovejoy, R&D Data Engineer. Intern.
Jack Keane, R&D Software Engineer. Intern.
1 All figures are Inca Digital reporting most recent estimates based on currently available public and proprietary sources; actual values may differ due to updates in underlying data and disclosures.